Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlante FC v Pumas

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 03:01 UTC

Final: Atlante FC 1–2 Pumas

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlante FC (Local)

Prediction 36.50%2.74fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.909%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.17%36.41%36.45%37.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.542.522.8142.02%39.42%39.68%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pumas (Visit)

Prediction 36.45%2.74fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.713%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.03%36.40%36.59%38.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.7142.55%39.72%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.958%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%27.19%26.96%29.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.5732.26%29.73%29.85%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlante FC (Local): 36.50%; Pumas (Visit): 36.45%; Draw: 27.05%. For Atlante FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.17%EV +2.56%E +0.909%K +1.41%G +0.036%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.56%EV -9.24%E -3.71%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 02:59
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02%EV -1.46%E -0.541%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.17%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.31%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.31%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 02:35
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -1.22%E -0.450%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -3.42%E -0.958%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 02:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.64%EV -1.22%E -0.450%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.50%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.00%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.64%EV -1.22%E -0.450%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -4.50%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 02:55
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.96%EV -6.69%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 02:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.05%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 02:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 02:44
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 02:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.05%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 02:50
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -5.84%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 01:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.82%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.61%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 12:20
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 02:55
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 02:49
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.05%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 02:58
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 02:34
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 02:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 02:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 02:35
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 02:35
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.03%E -3.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 02:55
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -8.03%E -3.19%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 02:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 02:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 02:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 02:50
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 02:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 03:00
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.52%E -5.22%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 02:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.52%E -5.22%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 02:50
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 02:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 02:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.76%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 02:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -9.49%E -3.83%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 02:34
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -9.49%E -3.83%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -9.49%E -3.83%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 02:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.05%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 02:55
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -11.43%E -4.70%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 02:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -12.52%E -5.22%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-17 02:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.34%E -6.10%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 02:49
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -13.25%E -5.57%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 02:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.12%EV -13.14%E -5.52%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.58%EV -14.34%E -6.10%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-17 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-10-17 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-10-17 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-10-17 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-10-17 02:55
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.86%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-10-17 02:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-10-17 03:00