Language:English
América v Toluca
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 35.35%2.83fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.35%35.35%35.35%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.91%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toluca (Visit)
Prediction 39.11%2.56fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.76%39.11%39.11%39.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4845.45%42.70%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.596%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%25.53%25.53%25.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.593.603.8529.85%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: América (Local): 35.35%; Toluca (Visit): 39.11%; Draw: 25.53%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -1.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.00%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -1.70%E -0.441%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.00%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -1.70%E -0.441%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.08%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 13:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.04%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.04%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.04%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.63%EV -12.32%E -4.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.76%EV -10.82%E -4.75%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-25 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.62%EV -15.15%E -6.31%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -13.95%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-25 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 34.99% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 36.69% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 28.33% | 20.1% | 2026-10-25 19:10 |