Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
América v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 61.55%1.62fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.78%61.69%61.43%65.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.481.491.5874.07%67.78%67.11%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 17.16%5.83fair odd
EV +15.80%
Edge +2.34%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.434%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.42%17.05%17.28%18.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.555.536.7521.05%18.02%18.10%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.30%4.70fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.586%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.27%21.26%21.30%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.294.304.8025.64%23.30%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 61.55%; Tijuana (Visit): 17.16%; Draw: 21.30%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.83. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.31%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +15.80%E +2.34%K +2.75%G +0.434% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +2.23%E +0.464%K +0.586%G +0.013% | 2.8% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.31%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +15.80%E +2.34%K +2.75%G +0.434% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +2.23%E +0.464%K +0.586%G +0.013% | 2.8% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.32%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.76%EV +10.65%E +1.65%K +1.95%G +0.208% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.92%EV -3.10%E -0.681%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-28 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.67%EV +5.33%E +0.869%K +1.04%G +0.055% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.586%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.586%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.586%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.586%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.586%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.586%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.586%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 02:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -0.499%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-29 02:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.65%EV -13.22%E -9.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -0.499%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.65%EV -13.22%E -9.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -0.499%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.65%EV -13.22%E -9.37%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -0.499%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 01:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -13.83%E -9.88%K -34.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -1.36%E -0.236%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.94%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.72%EV -6.45%E -4.24%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.46%EV -2.21%E -0.389%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.00%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.37%EV -2.56%E -0.450%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 63.68%EV -16.91%E -12.53%K -48.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.97%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.22%EV -2.75%E -1.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.43%EV -4.79%E -0.863%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV -3.53%E -0.778%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-29 02:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-29 02:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-29 02:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -9.08%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-29 02:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -6.45%E -4.24%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-29 02:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -16.94%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-29 02:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.51%EV -9.52%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.17%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-29 02:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -16.94%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -16.94%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -16.94%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -16.94%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-29 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -18.51%E -3.90%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-29 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.79%EV -9.52%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -18.51%E -3.90%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -13.75%E -3.39%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-29 02:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.33% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.82% | 0.9% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.2% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.2% | 2026-10-29 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 1.6% | 2026-10-29 02:55 |