Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América (Local)

Prévision 42.54%2.35cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.83%42.64%42.52%46.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.122.102.2952.36%47.25%47.62%43.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +0.803%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.51%27.72%27.74%28.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.363.7032.26%29.49%29.76%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.63%3.37cote équitable
EV -0.732%
Avantage -0.218%
Kelly -0.311%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%29.64%29.74%31.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.103.3535.71%32.04%32.26%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América (Local) : 42.54% ; Tigres (Visiteur) : 27.83% ; Match nul : 29.63%. Pour Tigres (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.59. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +2.97%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -12.37%E -6.01%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV +2.97%E +0.803%K +1.10%G +0.033%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -0.732%E -0.218%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -12.37%E -6.01%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV +2.97%E +0.803%K +1.10%G +0.033%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -0.732%E -0.218%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV +0.189%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 02:45
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV +0.189%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.28%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -1.20%E -0.339%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 03:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -16.20%E -8.22%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -1.20%E -0.339%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -16.63%E -8.48%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.20%E -0.339%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 02:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.59%E -0.741%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.59%E -0.741%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 02:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -17.05%E -8.74%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -2.59%E -0.741%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 02:45
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:44
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.09%EV -18.75%E -9.82%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 02:45
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 03:05
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 02:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.25%EV -8.73%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 02:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.27%E -3.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -5.93%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -8.73%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 02:55
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.10%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.06%EV -6.49%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.84%EV -6.36%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 02:55
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.84%E -3.12%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 02:55
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -12.58%E -4.27%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 02:45
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 02:38
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 02:43
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 03:04
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 02:55
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 02:50
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 02:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 02:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 02:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 02:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.27%EV -13.65%E -6.72%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 02:43
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 02:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.59%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 02:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-03-01 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-03-01 02:45
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-03-01 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-01 03:05
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%2.4%2026-03-01 03:05