La escuela de los momios

América v Tigres

Inicio: 2026-03-01 03:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

América (Local)

Predicción 42.54%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.83%42.64%42.52%46.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.122.102.2952.36%47.25%47.62%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tigres (Visitante)

Predicción 27.83%3.59momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.803%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.51%27.72%27.74%28.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.363.7032.26%29.49%29.76%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.63%3.37momio equitativo
EV -0.732%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.311%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.64%29.74%31.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.3535.71%32.04%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -12.37%E -6.01%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV +2.97%E +0.803%K +1.10%G +0.033%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -0.732%E -0.218%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -12.37%E -6.01%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV +2.97%E +0.803%K +1.10%G +0.033%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -0.732%E -0.218%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV +1.58%E +0.433%K +0.596%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV +0.189%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.21%E -0.671%K -0.962%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 02:45
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV +0.189%E +0.052%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 02:45
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.28%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -1.20%E -0.339%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 03:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -16.20%E -8.22%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -1.20%E -0.339%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -16.63%E -8.48%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.20%E -0.339%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 02:45
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.59%E -0.741%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 02:55
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.59%E -0.741%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 02:55
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -17.05%E -8.74%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -2.59%E -0.741%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 02:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 02:44
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 46.09%EV -18.75%E -9.82%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 02:45
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 03:05
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 02:55
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 02:45
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.25%EV -8.73%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 02:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 02:50
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.27%E -3.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -5.93%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -8.73%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 02:55
GTbets2.24I 44.64%NM 42.10%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.06%EV -6.49%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.84%EV -6.36%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 02:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 02:55
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.84%E -3.12%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 02:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.77%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -12.58%E -4.27%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 02:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 02:38
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 02:43
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 03:04
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.54%E -3.97%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 02:55
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 02:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.47%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 02:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 02:45
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.14%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 02:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 02:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.55%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -17.03%E -6.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 02:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 02:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 02:50
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.27%EV -13.65%E -6.72%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 02:43
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.67%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 02:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 02:45
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.59%EV -14.07%E -6.97%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.07%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 02:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-03-01 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-03-01 02:45
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-03-01 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-01 03:05
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%2.4%2026-03-01 03:05