Language:English
América v Monterrey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 51.57%1.94fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.82%51.68%51.45%53.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8558.82%55.64%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monterrey (Visit)
Prediction 23.16%4.32fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.358%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%23.13%23.34%25.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.883.834.3728.17%25.75%26.14%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.19%25.21%26.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.703.9029.41%27.35%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 51.57%; Monterrey (Visit): 23.16%; Draw: 25.27%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -4.60%E -2.49%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.12%EV +1.21%E +0.276%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -4.72%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.49%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV +0.048%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.49%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV +0.048%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.39%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -0.415%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 02:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -10.27%E -5.90%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.415%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -2.70%E -0.701%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 02:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -2.73%E -0.650%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -12.34%E -7.26%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.73%E -0.650%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.60%E -2.49%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.98%EV -4.82%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.95%EV -8.01%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 02:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -7.69%E -4.30%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 02:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 02:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 02:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.79%E -6.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 02:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.43%E -0.368%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.43%E -0.368%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 01:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.76%E -5.58%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 02:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.84%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 02:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.73%E -4.93%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.84%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.79%E -6.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.76%E -5.58%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.76%E -5.58%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 03:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.76%E -5.58%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.76%E -5.58%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.60%E -2.49%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.60%E -2.49%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.95%EV -10.79%E -6.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.63%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.66%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 02:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 01:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.26%EV -11.82%E -6.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 02:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -16.63%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -10.79%E -6.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.63%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 03:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.93%EV -8.21%E -4.61%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -10.28%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-11 03:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92% | 1.6% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88% | 1.8% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 03:05 |