L’École des cotes

Waterford FC v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 18:45 UTC

Score final : Waterford FC 4–0 Sligo Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 47.78%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.50%47.69%47.76%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.44%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.22%3.97cote équitable
EV -0.394%
Avantage -0.100%
Kelly -0.134%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.32%25.21%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.503.9530.30%28.10%28.57%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.00%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.775%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.28%26.99%27.02%29.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.303.6034.72%29.95%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 18:20
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:19
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -14.26%E -4.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 15:00
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.26%E -4.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-12 18:20
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -5.40%E -2.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.79%E -0.775%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 18:40
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -5.40%E -2.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 15:49
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.34%EV -0.394%E -0.100%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.86%EV -3.33%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -14.26%E -4.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-12 18:20
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -6.35%E -3.24%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.52%E -4.63%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -6.35%E -3.24%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.52%E -4.63%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:20
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 18:20
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.94%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.70%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.79%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 18:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.70%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 17:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.96%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 18:40
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.96%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-12 18:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.70%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-12 18:30
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.48%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-12 18:40
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -14.26%E -4.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-12 15:50
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.11%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.84%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-12 18:40
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -16.78%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -14.94%E -4.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-12 18:20
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.96%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-12 18:28
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.96%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-12 18:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-12 18:20
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-12 18:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-12 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -9.22%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.65%E -0.424%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 18:40
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -9.22%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.65%E -0.424%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 18:40
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -9.22%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.65%E -0.424%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.22%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -9.22%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -7.96%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-12 18:29
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.22%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.22%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.73%EV -11.13%E -5.98%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-12 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.13%E -5.98%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.52%E -4.63%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-12 18:40
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-12 18:40
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -12.56%E -6.86%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-12 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -12.56%E -6.86%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -14.26%E -4.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -22.23%E -7.72%K -11.82%G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-12 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-06-12 18:30