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Waterford FC v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waterford FC (Local)
Prediction 24.24%4.12fair odd
EV -7.87%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.05%24.24%24.24%25.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.733.803.8029.85%26.84%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 49.80%2.01fair odd
EV -6.87%
Edge -3.68%
Kelly -7.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.53%49.80%49.80%49.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.851.8758.82%54.64%54.05%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -6.56%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%25.96%25.96%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.553.6029.85%28.51%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 24.24%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 49.80%; Draw: 25.96%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -6.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-24 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -9.86%E -5.45%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -9.86%E -5.45%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -11.85%E -6.70%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.05%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-24 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -15.14%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -13.85%E -8.00%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-24 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.96%EV -13.35%E -7.67%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.84%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-24 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.19%EV -18.78%E -5.61%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.63%EV -15.34%E -9.02%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.19%EV -13.05%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-07-24 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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