The School of Odds

Waterford FC v Shelbourne Dublin

2026-07-31 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

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Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prediction 24.24%4.12fair odd
EV -7.87%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.05%24.24%24.24%25.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.733.803.8030%27%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 49.80%2.01fair odd
EV -6.87%
Edge -3.68%
Kelly -7.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.53%49.80%49.80%49.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.851.8759%55%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -6.56%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%25.96%25.96%26.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.553.6030%29%28%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.87%E -3.68%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:05
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:05
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:10
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.87%E -4.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.87%E -4.85%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 19:05
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -9.86%E -5.45%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 19:05
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -9.86%E -5.45%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 19:05
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -11.51%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -11.85%E -6.70%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.05%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 19:05
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -15.14%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -13.85%E -8.00%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-24 19:15
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -16.36%E -4.74%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.96%EV -13.35%E -7.67%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.84%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-24 19:09
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.19%EV -18.78%E -5.61%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.63%EV -15.34%E -9.02%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.19%EV -13.05%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-24 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.