La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Waterford FC v Shamrock Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waterford FC (Local)
Predicción 21.19%4.72momio equitativo
EV +3.85%
Ventaja +0.786%
Kelly +0.987%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.89%21.13%21.21%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.454.354.9025.00%22.46%22.99%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 54.44%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.60%54.51%54.39%56.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.671.671.7864.10%59.71%59.88%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.631%
Kelly -0.841%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%24.36%24.40%25.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.754.0030.30%26.85%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Casumo | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| betPARX | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV +3.85%E +0.786%K +0.987%G +0.038% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -10.72%E -6.54%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV +1.73%E +0.360%K +0.455%G +0.008% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -11.27%E -6.91%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 18:32 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV +1.73%E +0.360%K +0.455%G +0.008% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -12.36%E -7.67%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV +0.670%E +0.141%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -12.90%E -8.06%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.05%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV +0.670%E +0.141%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -12.90%E -8.06%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.05%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -2.51%E -0.545%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.23%EV -15.08%E -9.67%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -13.49%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.30%EV -4.42%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.63%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -2.52%E -0.631%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.63%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -4.63%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.69%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.19%EV -6.54%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.02%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.79%EV -8.13%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Bet Right | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.75%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-19 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.75%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.75%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-19 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -7.81%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.79%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betsson | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.81%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.81%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -8.23%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.87%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.87%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -8.87%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.87%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.87%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| BetUS | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -8.87%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -9.63%E -5.80%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.05%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-19 18:19 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-19 11:59 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-19 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-19 11:50 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-19 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-19 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -13.11%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -13.11%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.35%EV -12.36%E -7.67%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -15.22%E -3.81%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.05%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -15.22%E -3.81%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -11.81%E -7.29%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -15.22%E -3.81%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -11.81%E -7.29%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.58%E -5.93%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |