Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 5.03
assuming max odds 4.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 57.59%; Galway United (Visit): 20.14%; Draw: 22.27%. For Galway United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.10%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.04%EV +1.31%E +0.260%K +0.325%G +0.004% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.86%EV -2.46%E -0.562%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.81%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.21%EV +0.503%E +0.101%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.98%EV -2.91%E -0.667%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -1.31%E -0.267%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -1.31%E -0.267%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -8.43%E -5.30%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -3.32%E -0.692%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -12.46%E -8.20%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -3.32%E -0.692%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.25%E -0.987%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.55%E -3.39%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.33%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.25%E -0.987%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -4.33%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-19 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -10.73%E -6.93%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -7.59%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -4.98%E -3.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -7.59%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-19 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.81%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.70%E -4.14%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.81%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.28%E -4.52%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-19 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.93%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-19 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-19 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-19 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-19 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.13%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -12.79%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.58%E -6.10%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -12.79%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.56%EV -10.16%E -6.51%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.92%EV -14.27%E -3.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.20%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.44%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.26%EV -10.16%E -6.51%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -14.40%E -3.39%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -15.38%E -4.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.41%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 57.27%EV -15.34%E -10.44%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.28%EV -16.42%E -3.96%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.45%EV -16.49%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.29%EV -13.04%E -8.63%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.73%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.97%EV -17.61%E -4.76%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.9% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-10-19 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |