The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Waterford FC v Galway United

2026-10-19 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waterford FC (Local)

Prediction 45.14%2.22fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.37%45.14%45.14%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.002.1251.28%49.33%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galway United (Visit)

Prediction 30.83%3.24fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.55%30.83%30.83%31.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.903.1035.71%34.11%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.39%24.03%24.03%24.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.754.0828.57%26.48%26.67%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Waterford FC (Local): 45.14%; Galway United (Visit): 30.83%; Draw: 24.03%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.08, with an expected value of -1.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.01%EV -4.29%E -2.03%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.60%EV -6.91%E -2.29%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -1.96%E -0.480%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 20:49
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.93%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.92%EV -4.84%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 20:20
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.46%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.06%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 19:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-02 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-02 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.42%EV -10.16%E -5.11%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -12.15%E -4.26%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.49%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-02 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -11.97%E -6.14%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-02 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.