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Waterford FC v Galway United

2026-10-09 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waterford FC (Local)

Prediction 44.28%2.26fair odd
EV -6.57%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -5.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%44.30%44.28%45.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.042.082.1154.95%48.98%48.08%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galway United (Visit)

Prediction 30.64%3.26fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%30.52%30.64%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.023.1536.36%33.04%33.11%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV -7.21%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%25.19%25.08%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.613.653.7028.99%27.73%27.40%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Waterford FC (Local): 44.28%; Galway United (Visit): 30.64%; Draw: 25.08%. For Galway United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -3.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.10%EV -6.57%E -3.11%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.61%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 20:10
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:40
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.84%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.34%EV -7.90%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-02 19:40
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.23%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.60%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.23%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.60%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 19:39
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.44%EV -10.56%E -5.23%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.22%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-02 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.44%EV -10.56%E -5.23%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.22%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-02 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.44%EV -10.56%E -5.23%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -8.07%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.22%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-02 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -11.44%E -5.72%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -9.60%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -13.48%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-02 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.45%EV -12.33%E -6.23%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -14.20%E -5.07%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -8.46%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-02 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.15%EV -13.21%E -6.74%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.38%EV -10.97%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-02 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 45.68%EV -19.41%E -10.67%K -23.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.23%EV -15.73%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.10%EV -13.48%E -3.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-02 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.