The School of Odds
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Waterford FC v Bohemians

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waterford FC (Local)

Prediction 20.30%4.93fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%20.30%20.07%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.394.404.7525.64%22.76%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bohemians (Visit)

Prediction 56.04%1.78fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -6.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.92%56.04%56.09%56.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.661.7062.89%60.57%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.66%4.23fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%23.66%23.84%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.804.0027.78%26.19%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Waterford FC (Local): 20.30%; Bohemians (Visit): 56.04%; Draw: 23.66%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.75, with an expected value of -3.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -3.56%E -0.749%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -4.74%E -2.79%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.36%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 14:35
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.60%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -6.98%E -4.20%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.09%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 11:44
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.60%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -6.98%E -4.20%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.09%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 11:45
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.60%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -4.74%E -2.79%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.63%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.36%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:35
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.66%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.36%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 14:33
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.08%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.09%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 14:35
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.71%E -3.23%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -8.91%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:35
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -14.72%E -3.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:35
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -14.72%E -3.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.65%EV -10.90%E -6.86%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.09%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:35
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -20.82%E -5.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -10.34%E -6.46%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.