The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Waterford FC v Bohemians

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waterford FC (Local)

Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV +0.566%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.191%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.82%25.20%25.38%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.603.9630.30%27.66%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bohemians (Visit)

Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.25%50.75%50.46%53.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8857.14%54.92%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.544%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.18%24.05%24.16%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.804.0728.57%26.46%26.32%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 25.40%; Bohemians (Visit): 50.44%; Draw: 24.16%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.566%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.82%EV +0.566%E +0.143%K +0.191%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -10.21%E -5.73%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.18%EV -1.67%E -0.410%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 03:39
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.16%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.29%EV -7.18%E -3.90%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.29%EV -7.18%E -3.90%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 00:29
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 00:28
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 00:29
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 00:30
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 00:28
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 00:29
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 00:29
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -10.71%E -6.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-04 00:29
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -16.20%E -4.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -11.72%E -6.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -15.44%E -4.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-04 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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