Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-06-19 18:45 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 2–0 Sligo Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prediction 77.43%1.29fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -12.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.11%77.16%77.58%78.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2587.72%83.15%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 7.48%13.37fair odd
EV +4.74%
Edge +0.339%
Kelly +0.365%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.58%7.65%7.28%9.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.4111.0014.0010.53%8.76%9.09%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.09%6.63fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.345%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.15%15.19%15.14%18.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.795.756.5020.00%17.28%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 77.43%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 7.48%; Draw: 15.09%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.37. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.54%E -4.54%K -25.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +4.74%E +0.339%K +0.365%G +0.017%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -5.67%E -0.907%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.64%E -7.32%K -47.99%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +4.74%E +0.339%K +0.365%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.64%E -7.32%K -47.99%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV +4.74%E +0.339%K +0.365%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.34%EV -5.54%E -4.54%K -25.18%G +0.000%13.78I 7.26%NM 6.94%EV +3.10%E +0.225%K +0.242%G +0.008%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.73%EV -2.05%E -0.316%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.86%E -6.61%K -41.39%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.91%EV +1.00%E +0.074%K +0.080%G +0.001%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -4.16%E -0.656%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:40
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.90%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 6.98%EV +0.253%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.13%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 18:41
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.31%E -5.22%K -30.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.74%E -0.211%K -0.228%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -1.90%E -0.292%K -0.345%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-19 18:40
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -2.74%E -0.211%K -0.228%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 18:41
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -2.74%E -0.211%K -0.228%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -2.74%E -0.211%K -0.228%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.75%EV -5.54%E -4.54%K -25.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -2.74%E -0.211%K -0.228%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -24.54%E -4.91%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-19 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -11.73%E -10.29%K -83.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -2.74%E -0.211%K -0.228%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-19 18:21
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.86%E -6.61%K -41.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV -6.48%E -0.518%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -7.94%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:39
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.86%E -6.61%K -41.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV -6.48%E -0.518%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -7.94%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:40
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.64%E -7.32%K -47.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -10.22%E -0.852%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-19 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -8.64%E -7.32%K -47.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -10.22%E -0.852%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.10%EV -9.41%E -8.04%K -55.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV -10.22%E -0.852%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -24.54%E -4.91%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-19 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.79%EV -11.73%E -10.29%K -83.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.29%EV -10.22%E -0.852%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-19 18:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -3.41%E -0.532%K -0.631%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -3.41%E -0.532%K -0.631%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:01
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -3.41%E -0.532%K -0.631%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 18:01
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.31%E -5.22%K -30.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 18:10
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -8.64%E -7.32%K -47.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-19 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.35%EV -9.41%E -8.04%K -55.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -13.22%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-19 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.18%EV -10.19%E -8.78%K -63.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.03%EV -17.70%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.78%EV -15.48%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-19 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -3.22%E -2.57%K -12.87%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 18:10
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.43%EV -3.99%E -3.22%K -16.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.58%EV -4.77%E -3.87%K -20.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -16.99%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.51%EV -5.54%E -4.54%K -25.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -18.50%E -3.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-19 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -8.64%E -7.32%K -47.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -21.44%E -2.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -5.67%E -0.907%K -1.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-19 18:40
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -1.90%E -0.292%K -0.345%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:00
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -13.22%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-19 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -13.22%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-19 18:10
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -13.22%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-19 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.09%E -5.91%K -35.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -13.22%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-19 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.11%EV -6.31%E -5.22%K -30.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -20.01%E -3.78%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.11%EV -6.31%E -5.22%K -30.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -20.01%E -3.78%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-19 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.35%EV -8.64%E -7.32%K -47.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.77%EV -25.18%E -2.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -21.52%E -4.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-19 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.64%EV -10.19%E -8.78%K -63.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -28.92%E -3.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -12.46%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-19 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.25%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.25%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-19 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.25%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-19 18:40
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.38%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.49%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%1.1%2026-06-19 18:41