L’École des cotes

St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 71.77%1.39cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -3.41%
Kelly -13.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.42%71.61%71.81%73.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.301.301.3381.97%77.17%76.92%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.50%10.53cote équitable
EV +13.97%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.177%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.83%9.57%9.41%11.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.159.0012.0013.33%10.93%11.11%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.73%5.34cote équitable
EV -0.738%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.172%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.81%18.82%18.78%20.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.734.655.3023.81%21.13%21.51%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +13.97%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.177%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -6.36%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 18:15
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +9.22%E +0.802%K +0.878%G +0.081%4.72I 21.19%NM 19.84%EV -11.60%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 18:35
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.25%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV +4.47%E +0.406%K +0.447%G +0.020%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.36%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 16:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -10.28%E -8.23%K -41.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +4.47%E +0.406%K +0.447%G +0.020%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -11.04%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 18:15
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.46%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%10.66I 9.38%NM 8.97%EV +1.24%E +0.116%K +0.128%G +0.002%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57%EV -3.55%E -0.689%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -8.85%E -6.97%K -32.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -0.278%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -8.23%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 18:04
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.41%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -0.738%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.41%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -0.738%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:19
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -5.98%E -4.56%K -19.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.36%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 18:20
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -7.41%E -5.75%K -25.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 18:39
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -7.41%E -5.75%K -25.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -7.41%E -5.75%K -25.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.04%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 16:40
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 18:25
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -7.41%E -5.75%K -25.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 16:45
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.15%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -17.59%E -4.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 18:20
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.78%EV -12.44%E -10.19%K -56.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -5.03%E -0.503%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -15.72%E -3.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-03 18:15
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.03%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.40%EV -6.93%E -0.707%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -7.29%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:30
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.03%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.40%EV -6.93%E -0.707%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -7.29%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:30
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.72%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -9.78%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -5.42%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:10
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.77%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -9.78%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 18:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -10.28%E -8.23%K -41.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -9.78%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-03 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.97%EV -10.28%E -8.23%K -41.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -9.78%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -21.34%E -5.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-03 18:14
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.41%E -5.75%K -25.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -14.52%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -6.36%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:30
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.52%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -11.04%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.30%EV -11.72%E -9.53%K -50.95%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.05%EV -18.32%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.65%EV -17.59%E -4.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-03 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.85%E -6.97%K -32.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -19.27%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -4.48%E -0.879%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.41%E -5.75%K -25.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -19.27%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 18:30
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -7.41%E -5.75%K -25.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -19.27%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 18:30
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -19.27%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -19.27%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 18:35
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -4.54%E -3.41%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -5.26%E -3.98%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -13.85%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.72%E -3.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -6.69%E -5.15%K -22.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.72%E -3.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.48%EV -11.00%E -8.87%K -45.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -24.02%E -3.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.59%EV -11.98%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-03 18:30
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.42%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV -28.77%E -3.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -17.59%E -4.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-02 05:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.1%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.1%2026-04-03 18:40
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.1%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.94%1.4%2026-04-03 18:35