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St Patricks Athletic v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 60.20%1.66fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -6.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.90%60.23%60.22%61.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.25%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 16.89%5.92fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.220%
Kelly +0.264%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.87%16.89%16.75%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.315.306.0020.83%18.85%18.87%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.91%4.37fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -0.958%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.14%22.88%23.02%24.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.923.904.2328.17%25.49%25.64%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 60.20%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 16.89%; Draw: 22.91%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +1.32%E +0.220%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.78%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.92%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.46%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.61%EV -3.09%E -0.731%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -9.09%E -6.02%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -2.90%E -0.505%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-16 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%EV -11.50%E -7.82%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.95%EV -3.75%E -0.658%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.44%E -0.971%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -5.44%E -0.971%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.78%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.13%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.09%E -3.76%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.03%EV -7.29%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.78%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.50%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -10.50%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.51%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.35%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.35%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.80%E -3.06%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.19%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.51%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-16 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.19%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.51%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-16 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.75%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -12.19%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -14.09%E -3.76%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.75%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -12.19%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -14.09%E -3.76%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -3.67%E -2.30%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -13.88%E -2.72%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.84%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -13.88%E -2.72%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -15.24%E -4.12%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.70%EV -11.50%E -7.82%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -13.88%E -2.72%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.94%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -10.30%E -6.91%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.18%EV -13.88%E -2.72%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -16.38%E -4.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.94%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-16 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-16 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.94%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.94%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.94%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.94%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.94%E -3.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-16 18:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.88%EV -12.70%E -8.76%K -28.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.07%EV -15.57%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.05%EV -18.67%E -5.26%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.95%E -3.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.06%EV -15.71%E -11.22%K -39.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.52%EV -18.95%E -3.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%EV -14.09%E -3.76%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-10-16 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-10-16 18:55 |