L’École des cotes

St Patricks Athletic v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 42.96%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.74%42.81%43.09%43.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.182.2550.00%46.20%45.87%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.179%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%27.13%26.75%29.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.313.303.7032.79%30.21%30.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.06%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.709%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.28%30.06%30.16%31.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.2535.71%32.86%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 12:25
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.19%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -0.179%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -5.91%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 07:20
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -5.01%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -5.01%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 18:39
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -2.30%E -0.709%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 19:30
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 19:39
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -17.72%E -5.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 07:20
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -17.72%E -5.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.04%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -8.62%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:05
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:05
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -6.77%E -3.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.67%EV -5.31%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 19:40
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:24
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:30
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:39
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:40
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 19:25
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 19:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.81%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 18:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 18:49
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 18:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 18:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-16 19:05
Unibet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.03%EV -13.22%E -6.54%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.99%EV -13.13%E -4.08%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -12.82%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-16 19:34
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -13.73%E -4.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.08%E -7.04%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.79%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-16 19:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-16 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-03-16 19:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-16 19:35