The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St Patricks Athletic v Bohemians

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 19:46 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 2–3 Bohemians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prediction 51.79%1.93fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.19%51.80%51.84%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.791.801.8962.11%55.83%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bohemians (Visit)

Prediction 22.75%4.40fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.328%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%22.75%22.73%24.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.923.804.4628.57%25.49%26.32%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.46%3.93fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%25.45%25.43%26.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.603.7730.30%28.09%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 51.79%; Bohemians (Visit): 22.75%; Draw: 25.46%. For Bohemians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.89%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.58%EV +1.46%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 19:30
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.89%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.58%EV +1.46%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -8.84%E -5.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV +0.097%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -8.33%E -4.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV +0.097%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.63%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 19:25
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -8.33%E -4.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV +0.097%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.63%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -13.51%E -8.09%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV +0.097%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -8.33%E -4.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.18%E -0.507%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.18%E -2.26%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 19:29
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-30 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -4.45%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -7.29%E -4.07%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 18:55
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.36%E -5.35%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.36%E -5.35%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -11.95%E -7.03%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.00%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 19:10
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.61%EV -6.25%E -3.46%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.47%EV -9.46%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -7.81%E -4.39%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -10.14%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 19:00
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -7.81%E -4.39%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -10.14%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.28%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.28%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 19:05
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.33%E -4.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.28%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 19:32
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.28%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.46%EV -11.95%E -7.03%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -11.28%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-30 19:35
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -2.11%E -1.12%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 18:55
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 18:55
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -2.63%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -5.22%E -2.85%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.84%E -5.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.36%E -5.35%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.55%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.40%E -6.01%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -14.69%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.90%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-30 19:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -15.83%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -15.83%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -15.83%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 18:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -15.83%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-30 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -16.97%E -4.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -5.74%E -3.15%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -16.97%E -4.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 52.23%EV -16.61%E -10.32%K -27.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.04%EV -16.97%E -4.65%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.73%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-30 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.77%E -3.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -18.10%E -5.03%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-30 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -11.95%E -7.03%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -18.10%E -5.03%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -9.63%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-30 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -7.81%E -4.39%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -19.24%E -5.42%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-30 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.40%EV -9.88%E -5.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.56%EV -20.38%E -5.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-30 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-10-30 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-10-30 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-10-30 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-10-30 19:35