L’École des cotes

St Patricks Athletic v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 42.94%2.33cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.917%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.68%42.91%42.94%43.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.122.102.2850.51%47.25%47.62%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.27%3.81cote équitable
EV +1.65%
Avantage +0.426%
Kelly +0.575%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%26.16%26.38%28.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.453.8732.26%29.03%28.99%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.79%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.458%
Kelly -0.667%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.03%30.93%30.68%33.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.48%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.72%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.73%EV +1.65%E +0.426%K +0.575%G +0.009%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.55%EV -9.47%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:05
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -12.55%E -4.42%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -12.55%E -4.42%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -12.24%E -4.30%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:54
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.96%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.20%EV -10.40%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.47%E -0.458%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:50
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.02%EV -4.67%E -2.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -10.40%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 19:24
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 19:24
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:48
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:04
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:15
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:54
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:50
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -10.68%E -5.13%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -9.16%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 00:05
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -9.16%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 00:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -15.32%E -5.57%K -8.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:54
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 18:59
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 18:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-20 00:10
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -2.09%E -0.917%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -15.32%E -5.57%K -8.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 19:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -14.64%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 13:09
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.78%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.63%EV -14.97%E -7.56%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.23%EV -18.58%E -5.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.14%EV -13.78%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-17 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 41.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.05%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%3.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%3.8%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%3.8%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.34%6.3%2026-04-24 03:50