La escuela de los momios

St Patricks Athletic v Bohemians

Inicio: 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Predicción 42.94%2.33momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.68%42.91%42.94%43.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.122.102.2850.51%47.25%47.62%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bohemians (Visitante)

Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV +1.65%
Ventaja +0.426%
Kelly +0.575%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.73%26.16%26.38%28.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.453.8732.26%29.03%28.99%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.79%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -0.667%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%30.93%30.68%33.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.48%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.72%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.73%EV +1.65%E +0.426%K +0.575%G +0.009%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.55%EV -9.47%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:05
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -12.55%E -4.42%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -12.55%E -4.42%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -12.24%E -4.30%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:54
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.96%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.20%EV -10.40%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -6.81%E -3.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.47%E -0.458%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:50
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.02%EV -4.67%E -2.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -10.40%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 19:24
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 19:24
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:48
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:04
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:05
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 00:15
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:54
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:50
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -10.68%E -5.13%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -9.16%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 00:05
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -9.16%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 00:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -15.32%E -5.57%K -8.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:54
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 18:59
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 18:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-20 00:10
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -2.09%E -0.917%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -15.32%E -5.57%K -8.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 19:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -14.64%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 13:09
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -10.70%E -3.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.78%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.63%EV -14.97%E -7.56%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.23%EV -18.58%E -5.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.14%EV -13.78%E -4.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-17 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 41.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.05%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%3.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%3.8%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%3.8%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.34%6.3%2026-04-24 03:50