La escuela de los momios

Sligo Rovers v Galway United

Inicio: 2026-05-16 18:45 UTC

Final: Sligo Rovers 1–4 Galway United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.44%34.45%34.44%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.8240.00%37.35%37.04%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galway United (Visitante)

Predicción 35.35%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.59%35.33%35.34%37.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.572.552.7543.48%38.91%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.23%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -0.780%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.97%30.22%30.22%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.023.2536.36%33.16%33.11%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -2.95%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -2.78%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -5.68%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 18:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 18:25
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -4.32%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -3.84%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.57%EV -9.92%E -3.33%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -4.32%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -3.84%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.57%EV -9.92%E -3.33%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 18:05
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -4.32%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -3.84%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.57%EV -9.92%E -3.33%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 18:05
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 18:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 17:50
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -5.70%E -2.08%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -5.96%E -2.24%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.71%E -2.88%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:40
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -5.70%E -2.08%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -5.96%E -2.24%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.71%E -2.88%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:35
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.75%E -0.540%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:55
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 18:12
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 18:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:30
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:30
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:30
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:30
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:25
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:25
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 17:50
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 17:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -12.94%E -4.49%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 18:25
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -7.77%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:15
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -7.77%E -2.90%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.80%E -2.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:15
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 18:00
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -9.49%E -3.61%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.17%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -15.36%E -5.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -9.49%E -3.61%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -18.68%E -8.12%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -15.36%E -5.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 18:10
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -3.27%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:54
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -16.87%E -6.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-16 18:25
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.78%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:45
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:45
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:15
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.29%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 17:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.61%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:55
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -16.92%E -7.20%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.96%E -5.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.31%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 18:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%1.0%2026-05-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%1.0%2026-05-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%1.0%2026-05-16 18:15
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%1.0%2026-05-16 18:40