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Sligo Rovers v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV +4.11%
Edge +0.822%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.98%20.67%21.01%21.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.384.405.0025.97%22.82%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 56.35%1.77fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -6.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.46%56.42%56.22%58.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.631.631.7065.79%61.20%61.16%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.14%22.91%22.77%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.904.2027.78%25.41%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 20.82%; Dundalk (Visit): 56.35%; Draw: 22.83%. For Sligo Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV +4.11%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -6.46%E -3.89%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.97%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV +4.11%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -6.46%E -3.89%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.97%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -0.056%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -12.66%E -8.17%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -1.10%E -0.231%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.11%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.22%E -0.918%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.22%E -0.918%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -4.22%E -0.918%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.72%E -5.38%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -4.22%E -0.918%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -11.54%E -7.35%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.30%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.72%E -5.38%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -6.30%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -10.97%E -6.94%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -6.30%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -11.54%E -7.35%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -5.25%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 07:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -8.38%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -13.23%E -8.59%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.84%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -5.90%E -3.53%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.84%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.72%E -5.38%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.84%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.85%E -6.15%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -4.77%E -2.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.88%EV -6.62%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -10.47%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -7.59%E -4.63%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 18:42 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.47%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -9.85%E -6.15%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.39%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -11.51%E -2.71%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.21%E -2.48%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -5.34%E -3.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.03%E -4.26%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.86%EV -8.16%E -5.00%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -14.38%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-13 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.86%EV -8.16%E -5.00%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -14.38%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-13 07:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.72%E -5.38%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.72%E -5.38%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.72%E -5.38%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.46%EV -10.97%E -6.94%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.24%E -3.48%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -12.55%E -2.99%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -9.28%E -5.77%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -15.52%E -4.20%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-13 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.63%E -3.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.69%EV -9.85%E -6.15%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -16.66%E -4.57%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-13 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.31%EV -16.71%E -4.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.00%EV -12.66%E -8.17%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -17.81%E -4.95%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-10-13 07:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.80%EV -19.84%E -5.15%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.21%EV -14.35%E -9.44%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 22.99%EV -16.66%E -4.57%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-10-17 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |