The School of Odds

Sligo Rovers v Drogheda United

2026-07-25 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prediction 33.10%3.02fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%33.57%33.09%36.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.502.9042%38%40%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Drogheda United (Visit)

Prediction 38.99%2.56fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.50%38.39%39.06%39.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.472.472.6545%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -0.922%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%28.05%27.84%29.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.5033%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -18.91%E -7.72%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV +2.54%E +0.967%K +1.56%G +0.040%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -2.30%E -0.658%K -0.922%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -17.92%E -7.23%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV +2.54%E +0.967%K +1.56%G +0.040%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 18:55
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -18.91%E -7.72%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV +1.37%E +0.528%K +0.858%G +0.012%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -18.91%E -7.72%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV +1.37%E +0.528%K +0.858%G +0.012%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 18:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -20.57%E -8.57%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -0.577%E -0.226%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -14.87%E -4.87%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 18:55
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -11.30%E -4.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 05:35
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -11.30%E -4.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 05:35
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -6.33%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.70%EV -5.65%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -7.33%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 05:35
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.67%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.42%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.30%E -0.658%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 05:40
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.02%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -6.42%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.74%EV -4.54%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 05:35
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -6.67%E -2.36%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.42%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.33%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 05:30
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.02%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -13.47%E -4.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 05:25
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.33%E -2.62%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.20%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 05:25
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.98%E -3.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 05:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-19 05:35
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.98%E -3.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 05:40
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.98%E -3.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 05:39
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.98%E -3.27%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 05:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 05:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -17.26%E -6.90%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -16.26%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-19 05:35
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -20.57%E -8.57%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.21%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -16.26%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-19 05:35
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.29%E -4.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 05:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -13.95%E -5.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.47%E -4.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-19 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.