Language:English
Sligo Rovers v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 34.20%2.92fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.84%34.14%34.20%35.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8340.00%37.27%37.04%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 37.16%2.69fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.689%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.19%37.22%37.20%38.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.6643.48%40.77%40.82%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd
EV +0.224%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.090%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.64%28.60%29.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.203.203.5032.79%31.21%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 34.20%; Drogheda United (Visit): 37.16%; Draw: 28.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.224%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.224%E +0.064%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 04:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 18:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 04:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-24 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.03%EV -8.68%E -3.25%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.43%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 06:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -6.97%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.67%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-24 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -6.97%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.67%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-24 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -10.05%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.39%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -10.39%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.55%E -4.85%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.04%EV -3.21%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.22%EV -1.14%E -0.430%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.74%EV -7.22%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-25 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -10.05%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.79%EV -7.83%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -11.55%E -4.85%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 04:12 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.08%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -6.29%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.44%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.52%EV -9.51%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -4.86%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-25 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.08%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.08%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-25 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -12.79%E -5.01%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.99%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-24 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -5.95%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-25 04:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-25 04:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-25 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-25 04:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-25 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -12.79%E -5.01%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.02%EV -11.55%E -4.85%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-25 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -14.50%E -5.80%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -9.37%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-25 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 18:35 |