Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin v Waterford FC

2026-10-30 19:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prediction 49.55%2.02fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.765%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.48%48.97%49.32%50.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.931.902.0560.24%51.94%52.49%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waterford FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%26.45%26.07%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.353.353.6532.79%29.85%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.32%4.11fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%24.58%24.61%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.603.554.0130.77%27.78%28.17%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 49.55%; Waterford FC (Visit): 26.13%; Draw: 24.32%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.05, producing a positive expected value of +1.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV +1.57%E +0.765%K +1.49%G +0.023%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -16.38%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -17.30%E -5.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -2.89%E -1.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -16.38%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -17.30%E -5.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -3.88%E -2.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -17.69%E -5.62%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -18.51%E -5.53%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-23 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -4.38%E -2.27%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -19.00%E -6.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -18.51%E -5.53%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-23 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.85%E -3.65%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 20:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.56%EV -6.85%E -3.65%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -20.30%E -6.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -20.95%E -6.45%K -9.31%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-23 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.54%EV -7.35%E -3.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.62%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.57%EV -2.46%E -0.614%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 21:25
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -7.35%E -3.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.18%EV -6.71%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.84%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.85%E -4.22%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.28%EV -8.34%E -4.51%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.98%EV -6.45%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 20:48
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.34%E -4.51%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 20:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.34%E -4.51%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 20:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.34%E -4.51%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 21:15
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.33%E -5.10%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.01%EV -10.82%E -6.01%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -15.08%E -4.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-23 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%EV -12.80%E -7.27%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -17.69%E -5.62%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-23 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.17%EV -17.75%E -10.70%K -26.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.03%EV -16.38%E -5.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -14.87%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-23 20:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.