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Shelbourne Dublin v St Patricks Athletic

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prediction 30.56%3.27fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.29%30.56%30.53%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.983.003.1535.71%33.61%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 41.48%2.41fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.25%41.48%41.51%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.222.202.3046.51%45.12%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.96%3.58fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%27.96%27.96%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.303.4033.33%30.90%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 30.56%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 41.48%; Draw: 27.96%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -3.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:55
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.23%EV -7.08%E -3.16%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 11:39
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.23%EV -7.08%E -3.16%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 11:39
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:40
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:40
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.14%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 11:39
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.33%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 12:14
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.93%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 11:40
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.54%E -3.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 11:40
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.13%E -5.38%K -8.06%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.