Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.42
assuming max odds 8.00
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 68.15%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 12.69%; Draw: 19.16%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +1.54%E +0.193%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.22%E -0.845%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.54%E +0.193%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -19.55%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.32%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -0.995%E -0.128%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -9.97%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 19:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.11%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -1.63%E -0.210%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.97%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.49%EV -6.63%E -4.84%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.00%EV -5.37%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 05:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.22%E -0.845%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.89%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.14%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -4.80%E -0.640%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -15.72%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.64%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -6.07%E -0.821%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.64%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -6.07%E -0.821%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.81%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -8.61%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.97%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.81%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -8.61%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -9.97%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.22%E -2.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.14%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 05:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -6.14%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 08:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -11.15%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.80%E -3.07%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.96%EV -12.08%E -9.37%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.99%EV -14.32%E -2.12%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -11.89%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-04 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.92%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -18.77%E -2.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -18.59%E -4.37%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.92%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -18.77%E -2.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -18.59%E -4.37%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.92%EV -5.95%E -4.31%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -18.77%E -2.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -18.59%E -4.37%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.09%EV -7.31%E -5.38%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -18.77%E -2.93%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.55%E -4.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 67.18%EV -15.49%E -12.49%K -64.55%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.22%EV -20.03%E -3.18%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 19.60%EV -18.59%E -4.37%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.85%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -20.67%E -3.31%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -9.97%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -10.04%E -7.61%K -31.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.10%EV -20.67%E -3.31%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -11.89%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.41%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -23.84%E -3.97%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.09%EV -17.06%E -3.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-05 04:41 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.