Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin v Shamrock Rovers

Início: 2026-06-12 19:00 UTC

Final: Shelbourne Dublin 2–1 Shamrock Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Previsão 35.60%2.81odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -0.896%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.21%35.61%35.61%37.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.572.602.7441.67%38.93%38.46%36.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 34.34%2.91odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.89%34.43%34.27%36.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.672.702.8240.00%37.46%37.04%35.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.06%3.33odd justa
EV -0.812%
Vantagem -0.246%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.78%29.96%30.13%32.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.603.053.103.3038.46%32.83%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 35.60%; Shamrock Rovers (Visitante): 34.34%; Empate: 30.06%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.33. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.30, com valor esperado de -0.812%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16%EV -2.46%E -0.896%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.16%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -5.62%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.88%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -0.812%E -0.246%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -4.59%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -10.43%E -3.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.15%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.15%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.15%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 18:49
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.83%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-12 18:30
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.80%EV -7.08%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.73%EV -7.62%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.47%EV -4.72%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 18:50
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:19
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 18:48
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 18:50
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 18:39
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -13.44%E -4.67%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-12 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-12 18:37
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-12 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-12 18:49
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -10.29%E -4.08%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -10.29%E -4.08%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 17:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-12 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-12 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -9.68%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -9.68%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.68%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -13.44%E -4.67%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.21%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -21.85%E -8.40%K -13.66%G +0.000%16.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-12 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -12.43%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-05 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -15.84%E -5.66%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-12 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -14.56%E -6.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -14.56%E -6.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.43%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-12 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-06-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-06-12 18:50