L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v Shamrock Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shelbourne Dublin 2–1 Shamrock Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 35.60%2.81cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.896%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.21%35.61%35.61%37.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.7441.67%38.93%38.46%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.34%2.91cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.89%34.43%34.27%36.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.672.702.8240.00%37.46%37.04%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.06%3.33cote équitable
EV -0.812%
Avantage -0.246%
Kelly -0.353%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.78%29.96%30.13%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.053.103.3038.46%32.83%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16%EV -2.46%E -0.896%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.16%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -5.62%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 18:50
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.88%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -0.812%E -0.246%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 18:50
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -4.59%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -10.43%E -3.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.15%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 18:40
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.15%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 18:40
BetAnything2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.15%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 18:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 18:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 18:49
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.73%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.83%E -4.43%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-12 18:30
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.80%EV -7.08%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.73%EV -7.62%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.47%EV -4.72%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 18:50
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:19
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 18:48
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 18:50
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 18:39
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -13.44%E -4.67%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-12 18:40
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.44%E -2.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-12 18:37
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-12 18:20
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.22%E -3.62%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-12 18:49
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -10.29%E -4.08%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 17:40
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -10.29%E -4.08%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 17:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-12 18:39
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-12 18:50
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -9.68%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -9.68%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.68%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -13.44%E -4.67%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.21%EV -11.00%E -4.40%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -21.85%E -8.40%K -13.66%G +0.000%16.9%2026-06-12 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-12 17:40
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -12.43%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-05 22:59
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.78%E -5.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -15.84%E -5.66%K -8.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-12 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -14.56%E -6.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -14.56%E -6.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.43%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-12 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-06-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-06-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-06-12 18:50