L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

Score final : Shelbourne Dublin 1–1 Galway United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 54.51%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.60%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -6.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.18%54.43%54.59%55.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.681.681.7562.89%59.54%59.52%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.19%4.95cote équitable
EV +2.37%
Avantage +0.467%
Kelly +0.582%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 5.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.42%20.26%20.08%21.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.554.505.0723.81%21.99%22.22%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -0.914%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%25.31%25.33%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.88%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.42%EV +2.37%E +0.467%K +0.582%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 18:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV -1.07%E -0.217%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.07%E -0.217%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:40
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.08%E -0.643%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 18:40
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 18:38
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.29%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 18:29
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:39
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.22%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.11%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 09:59
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.22%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.11%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 10:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 19:39
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-28 19:39
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 18:38
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -8.13%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -4.37%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.60%E -0.676%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 18:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 18:37
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:38
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 18:29
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-28 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-28 19:39
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.80%EV -13.33%E -8.38%K -22.59%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.58%EV -10.15%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-29 18:19
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:29
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 10:00
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 18:39
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -12.78%E -7.99%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-28 19:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.36%EV -12.24%E -7.60%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-29 18:40
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:29
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 18:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-29 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -11.69%E -7.22%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -19.05%E -5.95%K -8.66%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-29 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -14.19%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -10.60%E -6.46%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-29 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.60%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-05-29 18:30