La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Shelbourne Dublin v Galway United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 54.51%1.83momio equitativo
EV -4.60%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -6.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.18%54.43%54.59%55.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.681.681.7562.89%59.54%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Galway United (Visitante)
Predicción 20.19%4.95momio equitativo
EV +2.37%
Ventaja +0.467%
Kelly +0.582%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.42%20.26%20.08%21.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.554.505.0723.81%21.99%22.22%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.30%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -0.914%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.66%25.31%25.33%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.88%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.42%EV +2.37%E +0.467%K +0.582%G +0.014% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV -1.07%E -0.217%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -4.88%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -1.07%E -0.217%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.08%E -0.643%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 18:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.29%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.01%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.10%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.22%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.11%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 09:59 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.22%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.11%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.12%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -8.13%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -4.37%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.60%E -0.676%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 18:37 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-29 18:38 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.80%EV -13.33%E -8.38%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.58%EV -10.15%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-29 18:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -12.78%E -7.99%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.36%EV -12.24%E -7.60%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -11.16%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -11.69%E -7.22%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -12.57%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -19.05%E -5.95%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -14.19%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -10.60%E -6.46%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-29 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.60% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-29 18:30 |