L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 55.41%1.80cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -5.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.06%55.32%55.46%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.681.7363.69%59.82%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.74%5.34cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.273%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.20%18.68%18.74%19.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.834.805.4022.73%20.70%20.83%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.822%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.17%26.00%25.79%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.453.7532.26%28.95%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV +1.20%E +0.222%K +0.273%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 02:52
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -0.675%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:05
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.39%EV -2.92%E -0.564%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.89%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:35
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:50
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.79%EV -6.44%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:10
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.49%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.61%EV -5.55%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.90%EV -6.44%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:29
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.33%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -3.08%E -0.822%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 14:40
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.37%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:04
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:04
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-24 00:08
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-24 00:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.25%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.25%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:05
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -8.01%E -4.83%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -8.01%E -4.83%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:55
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:04
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:05
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:05
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:09
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 15:24
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-24 00:39
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 02:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 14:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 00:05
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 23:04
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.26%EV -11.89%E -7.48%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -12.86%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.01%E -4.83%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:04
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 23:05
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 14:44
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 00:40
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 00:45
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.35%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -17.30%E -5.41%K -7.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-20 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.88%E -6.41%K -9.47%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-24 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.72%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -17.54%E -3.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40