La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Shelbourne Dublin v Drogheda United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 55.41%1.80momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -5.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.06%55.32%55.46%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.681.7363.69%59.82%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Drogheda United (Visitante)
Predicción 18.74%5.34momio equitativo
EV +1.20%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.273%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.20%18.68%18.74%19.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.834.805.4022.73%20.70%20.83%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.84%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -0.822%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.17%26.00%25.79%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.453.7532.26%28.95%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV +1.20%E +0.222%K +0.273%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 02:52 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -0.675%E -0.127%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.39%EV -2.92%E -0.564%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.89%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -4.42%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.79%EV -6.44%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.49%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.61%EV -5.55%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.90%EV -6.44%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.33%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -3.08%E -0.822%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.37%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-24 00:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -6.30%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.25%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.25%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -8.01%E -4.83%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| BetUS | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -8.01%E -4.83%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.17%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -10.05%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 14:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.98%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 00:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.92%E -2.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.71%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.26%EV -11.89%E -7.48%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -12.86%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.01%E -4.83%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.35%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -17.30%E -5.41%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -15.67%E -3.48%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.88%E -6.41%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.72%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -17.54%E -3.99%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |