Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shamrock Rovers v St Patricks Athletic

Início: 2026-05-29 19:02 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patricks Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Previsão 37.92%2.64odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -0.993%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.02%37.94%37.87%39.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.402.402.5744.44%41.69%41.67%38.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 31.84%3.14odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.416%
Kelly -0.614%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.67%31.77%31.74%33.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.75%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.24%3.31odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.529%
Kelly -0.764%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.14%30.29%30.39%32.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.85%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 37.92%; St Patricks Athletic (Visitante): 31.84%; Empate: 30.24%. Para St Patricks Athletic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.10, com valor esperado de -1.29%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -2.55%E -0.993%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -1.61%E -0.520%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.37%EV -7.16%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -11.09%E -3.77%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -11.09%E -3.77%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:58
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:59
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 18:59
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:58
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:59
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:59
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-29 18:59
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -9.38%E -3.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -6.70%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 18:59
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 18:57
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.14%E -4.28%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 19:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.14%E -4.28%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -1.29%E -0.416%K -0.614%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.65%E -5.00%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.65%E -5.00%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:59
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -14.03%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-29 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.84%E -6.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-29 18:46
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.62%EV -13.55%E -5.94%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-29 18:58
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.33%E -5.47%K -8.52%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-05-29 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-29 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-29 18:59
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-29 18:59