L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v St Patricks Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 19:02 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patricks Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 37.92%2.64cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.993%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.02%37.94%37.87%39.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.5744.44%41.69%41.67%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Patricks Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.84%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.416%
Kelly -0.614%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.67%31.77%31.74%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.75%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.24%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.529%
Kelly -0.764%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.14%30.29%30.39%32.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.85%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -2.55%E -0.993%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -1.61%E -0.520%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.37%EV -7.16%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 18:59
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -11.09%E -3.77%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -11.09%E -3.77%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 18:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 18:59
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.02%E -2.40%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:58
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:59
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 18:59
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:58
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:59
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 18:59
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-29 18:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -9.38%E -3.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -6.70%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 18:59
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.88%E -0.945%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 18:59
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 18:57
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.14%E -4.28%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 19:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.14%E -4.28%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -1.29%E -0.416%K -0.614%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.89%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.65%E -5.00%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -11.65%E -5.00%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.25%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 18:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:59
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.66%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 18:59
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -14.03%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-29 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.79%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.84%E -6.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-29 18:46
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.62%EV -13.55%E -5.94%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 18:59
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-29 18:58
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.33%E -5.47%K -8.52%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-29 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-05-29 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-29 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-29 18:59
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-29 18:59