The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 4–0 Sligo Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 81.72%1.22fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -4.48%
Kelly -32.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.96%81.60%81.86%83.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.131.1692.59%88.46%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 6.01%16.65fair odd
EV +11.11%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +0.635%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 18.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.03%6.12%5.95%8.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0014.0713.0018.509.09%7.11%7.69%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.27%8.15fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.352%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 8.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.10%12.28%12.18%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.207.177.008.3916.13%13.94%14.29%11.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 81.72%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 6.01%; Draw: 12.27%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.65. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.05%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +11.11%E +0.600%K +0.635%G +0.071%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.92%EV -4.28%E -0.549%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 13:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.05%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.03%EV +11.11%E +0.600%K +0.635%G +0.071%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.92%EV -4.28%E -0.549%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 13:36
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -5.20%E -4.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +8.10%E +0.450%K +0.477%G +0.039%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 09:39
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.49%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%17.91I 5.58%NM 5.27%EV +7.56%E +0.422%K +0.447%G +0.034%8.39I 11.92%NM 11.24%EV +2.96%E +0.352%K +0.400%G +0.012%6.0%2026-10-23 15:06
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.49%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%17.91I 5.58%NM 5.27%EV +7.56%E +0.422%K +0.447%G +0.034%8.39I 11.92%NM 11.24%EV +2.96%E +0.352%K +0.400%G +0.012%6.0%2026-10-23 14:43
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.10%E +0.123%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -1.83%E -0.229%K -0.261%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.123%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.83%E -0.229%K -0.261%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:06
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.10%E +0.123%K +0.131%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +2.10%E +0.123%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.83%E -0.229%K -0.261%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 15:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.54%EV -10.92%E -10.02%K -121.36%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.36%EV +2.10%E +0.123%K +0.131%G +0.003%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.10%EV +0.625%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.001%9.8%2026-10-23 15:06
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.03%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV -3.91%E -0.244%K -0.260%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 14:42
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 09:24
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.22%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -11.03%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 09:25
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.29%E -8.37%K -84.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 15:06
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -9.91%E -0.661%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -12.92%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 14:43
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.55%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -12.92%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 14:43
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.91%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -12.92%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -4.28%E -0.549%K -0.630%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 15:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.91%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.33%EV -12.92%E -0.891%K -0.957%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -4.28%E -0.549%K -0.630%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 15:06
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.83%E -0.229%K -0.261%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 15:40
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:05
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:01
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:05
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -6.02%E -5.23%K -40.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 11:05
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.32%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -20.24%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-23 14:43
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -9.29%E -8.37%K -84.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 15:12
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -21.92%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -20.24%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-23 05:15
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.82%EV -5.20%E -4.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -11.03%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.96%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.50%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.19%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 11:01
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.50%EV -7.65%E -6.77%K -58.87%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.19%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.65%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -17.17%E -2.54%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.39%EV -9.29%E -8.37%K -84.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.05%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -20.24%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-23 11:05
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.81%EV -10.92%E -10.02%K -121.36%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.05%EV -24.93%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.15%EV -11.03%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-23 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.14%EV -8.47%E -7.56%K -70.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -27.93%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -11.03%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 79.61%EV -11.74%E -10.87%K -146.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.16%EV -27.93%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.23%EV -20.24%E -3.11%K -3.68%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-23 11:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 79.10%EV -11.74%E -10.87%K -146.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.12%EV -27.93%E -2.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.78%EV -23.92%E -3.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-23 14:43
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -33.94%E -3.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 11:22
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -33.94%E -3.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 11:22
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -33.94%E -3.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 11:22
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -6.84%E -6.00%K -48.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -33.94%E -3.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -14.10%E -2.01%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 11:22
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.42%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.45%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13%2.1%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.20%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.44%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.36%2.4%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.20%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.44%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.36%2.4%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.62%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.11%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.28%3.1%2026-10-23 15:59