Language:English
Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 51.42%1.94fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.16%51.44%51.37%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.781.8559.52%56.51%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.827%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%22.15%22.28%23.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.104.3526.67%24.62%24.39%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.42%3.79fair odd
EV -0.930%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%26.41%26.36%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.7531.25%29.19%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 51.42%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 22.16%; Draw: 26.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.930%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -0.930%E -0.248%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -6.42%E -3.52%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.30%EV -6.04%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.76%EV -3.04%E -0.829%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.75%EV -6.93%E -3.83%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.04%E -0.933%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.01%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 05:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 19:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 03:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.08%EV -7.96%E -4.45%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -3.60%E -0.827%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.01%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 07:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 21:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -13.57%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -12.46%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -16.90%E -4.51%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.02%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -14.68%E -3.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.57%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.57%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 00:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.84%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -13.57%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -15.46%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-09 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.75%EV -12.59%E -7.40%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -15.79%E -4.15%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-09 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.05%EV -13.61%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.79%E -4.15%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-15 00:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.