Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin

2026-08-21 19:00 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 51.77%1.93fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -6.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.16%51.75%51.77%52.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.68%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 22.12%4.52fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%22.05%22.12%23.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.054.3026.67%24.66%24.69%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.763%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.20%26.11%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.7531.25%29.13%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 51.77%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 22.12%; Draw: 26.11%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 12:05
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.66%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.21%EV -6.54%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 12:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.91%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.00%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -6.54%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 12:25
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.00%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:00
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.00%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.36%E -4.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.32%E -2.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 12:05
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.39%E -5.37%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.39%E -5.37%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.53%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.43%E -6.03%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -10.43%E -6.03%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -17.06%E -4.55%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-09 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.02%EV -10.95%E -6.36%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -14.85%E -3.86%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.84%EV -11.98%E -7.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -16.46%E -5.14%K -7.48%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-09 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.75%EV -11.98%E -7.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-09 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.