Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 19:00 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 0–0 Shelbourne Dublin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 55.63%1.80fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%55.65%55.72%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7263.69%60.03%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 19.69%5.08fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.574%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%19.63%19.49%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.594.605.2024.39%21.79%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.703%
Kelly -0.943%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%24.72%24.78%25.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.663.703.9429.85%27.30%27.03%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 55.63%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 19.69%; Draw: 24.68%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.99%E -6.87%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV +2.41%E +0.464%K +0.574%G +0.014%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:40
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.62%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.10%EV -1.33%E -0.265%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.28%EV -2.77%E -0.703%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.43%E -3.20%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.53%E -0.305%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 06:25
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.50%E -0.714%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.47%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.24%EV -7.66%E -4.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.47%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.31%EV -5.24%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.45%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 07:49
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.45%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.45%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 11:20
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.81%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.78%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.42%EV -5.24%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:14
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -7.66%E -4.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -7.44%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 12:17
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.46%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -7.44%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 07:04
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.46%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -7.44%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 07:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -4.88%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -4.88%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 06:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.33%EV -12.66%E -8.07%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.44%EV -10.39%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.23%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 07:05
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 06:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.88%E -6.10%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 07:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -8.77%E -5.35%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:54
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.88%E -6.10%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.99%E -6.87%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.34%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 07:05
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.88%E -6.10%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -13.34%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 06:20
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.88%EV -7.66%E -4.61%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.56%EV -14.33%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:10
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -14.72%E -3.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 06:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -8.77%E -5.35%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -15.31%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -9.88%E -6.10%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -16.30%E -3.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -14.86%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -9.88%E -6.10%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -16.30%E -3.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -14.86%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.01%EV -12.66%E -8.07%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.68%EV -19.25%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.31%EV -17.33%E -5.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.38%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25