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Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin

2026-09-04 19:00 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 50.64%1.97fair odd
EV -7.84%
Edge -4.31%
Kelly -9.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.88%50.64%50.52%51.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8258.82%56.57%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 23.80%4.20fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.88%23.80%23.88%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.783.804.0028.17%26.47%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.56%3.91fair odd
EV -5.43%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%25.56%25.59%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7030.30%28.44%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 50.64%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 23.80%; Draw: 25.56%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -4.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.84%E -4.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.36%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.84%E -4.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.36%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 17:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.85%E -4.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -9.86%E -5.54%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -13.12%E -3.60%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -10.37%E -5.86%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.87%E -6.18%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.50%E -4.37%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -12.39%E -7.16%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -12.39%E -7.16%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -14.31%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.91%E -8.18%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -11.93%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.