L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 49.76%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.50%49.77%49.77%50.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.861.871.9757.14%53.76%53.48%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.91%4.56cote équitable
EV +2.99%
Avantage +0.637%
Kelly +0.809%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.25%21.90%21.92%24.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.074.004.7026.67%24.57%25.00%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.33%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.48%28.33%28.31%29.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.12%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +2.99%E +0.637%K +0.809%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +2.99%E +0.637%K +0.809%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:45
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.56%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.93%EV +0.583%E +0.127%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.51%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -2.48%E -0.558%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -8.23%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:54
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.58%E -0.814%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -3.58%E -0.814%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:54
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 15:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:40
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -7.09%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:50
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 15:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:05
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:40
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:49
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.15%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:54
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 15:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:41
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -8.44%E -4.59%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 15:54
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:55
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.44%E -3.40%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:54
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.44%E -3.40%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:54
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.21%EV -12.92%E -7.38%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -15.02%E -5.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 15:15
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.82%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -15.63%E -4.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 48.93%EV -12.42%E -7.06%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37%EV -15.63%E -4.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -15.02%E -5.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.90%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -16.73%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 15:40
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -18.42%E -6.40%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-06 15:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-06 15:55