La escuela de los momios

Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin

Inicio: 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Predicción 49.76%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.50%49.77%49.77%50.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.861.871.9757.14%53.76%53.48%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)

Predicción 21.91%4.56momio equitativo
EV +2.99%
Ventaja +0.637%
Kelly +0.809%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.25%21.90%21.92%24.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.074.004.7026.67%24.57%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.48%28.33%28.31%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.12%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +2.99%E +0.637%K +0.809%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +2.99%E +0.637%K +0.809%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:45
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.56%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.93%EV +0.583%E +0.127%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.51%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -7.44%E -4.00%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -2.48%E -0.558%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -8.23%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:54
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.58%E -0.814%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -3.58%E -0.814%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:54
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 15:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 15:40
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -7.09%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:50
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.77%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:14
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 15:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.96%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:05
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:40
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:49
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:50
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.15%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.15%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:54
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 15:50
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:41
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -8.44%E -4.59%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 15:54
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 15:55
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.44%E -3.40%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:54
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.44%E -3.40%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:54
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.21%EV -12.92%E -7.38%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -15.02%E -5.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 15:15
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.82%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -15.63%E -4.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 15:54
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 48.93%EV -12.42%E -7.06%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37%EV -15.63%E -4.06%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -15.02%E -5.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.90%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -16.73%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 15:40
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -1.97%E -1.00%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -17.82%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -18.42%E -6.40%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 12:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-06 15:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-06 15:55