Language:English
Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 66.61%1.50fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -11.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.24%66.57%66.50%68.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.391.381.4378.13%72.14%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 13.01%7.69fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 7.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.98%13.06%13.11%14.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.867.007.8516.67%14.58%14.29%12.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.38%4.91fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -0.852%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.50%20.36%20.39%21.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.414.404.7524.69%22.68%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 66.61%; Drogheda United (Visit): 13.01%; Draw: 20.38%. For Drogheda United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.17%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.98%EV +2.09%E +0.267%K +0.306%G +0.006% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.85%EV -3.40%E -0.717%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 08:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV +0.793%E +0.102%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.29%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.09%EV +0.143%E +0.019%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -7.27%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.24%EV -7.41%E -5.33%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.22%EV -0.507%E -0.066%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.54%EV -7.27%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.76%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 11:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.20%E -0.673%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -10.07%E -7.46%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -2.46%E -0.328%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.22%E -0.897%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.74%E -3.32%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.29%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-02 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 12:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.25%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.29%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.29%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 06:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -4.22%E -0.897%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 20:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-01 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.40%E -8.57%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -8.96%E -1.28%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.29%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.86%EV -12.07%E -9.14%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.08%EV -12.21%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -10.33%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.29%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 12:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -8.07%E -5.85%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -15.46%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -16.44%E -4.01%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -18.72%E -2.99%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-02 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.68%EV -14.73%E -11.51%K -52.62%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 13.56%EV -19.37%E -3.12%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 20.76%EV -17.46%E -4.31%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-10-04 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.76%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.76%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.76%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.74%E -4.81%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.76%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -10.07%E -7.46%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.37%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 20:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -11.40%E -8.57%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -21.97%E -3.66%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -14.41%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-10-04 12:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.