Galway United v Waterford FC

2026-07-24 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

48%

28%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 48.32%2.07fair odd

EV -4.81%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -4.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.68%48.35%48.32%49.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.891.901.9756%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Waterford FC (Visit)

Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd

EV -2.52%

Edge -0.721%

Kelly -1.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.85%27.81%27.85%28.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.103.323.303.5032%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd

EV -4.67%

Edge -1.17%

Kelly -1.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.36%23.84%23.83%25.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.503.823.854.0029%26%26%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.96%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%	3.36I 29.76%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-17 22:34
Coolbet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.52%E -0.721%K -1.01%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-18 01:35
DraftKings	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-18 01:24
William Hill	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-17 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-17 22:35
Bet Right	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-17 22:59
FanDuel	1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-17 22:38
Paddy Power	1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-17 23:05
SportsBet	1.81I 55.25%NM 49.03%EV -12.55%E -6.93%K -15.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-07-17 23:00
Sky Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -16.59%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-07-17 22:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.