The School of Odds
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Galway United v St Patricks Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:44 UTC

Final: Galway United 0–0 St Patricks Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 18.71%5.34fair odd
EV -0.813%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.189%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.21%18.73%18.74%20.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.784.725.3023.53%20.94%21.16%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 58.02%1.72fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.48%57.97%57.96%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.601.601.6768.03%62.42%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.710%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.68%23.30%23.29%24.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.854.2028.57%25.88%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 18.71%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 58.02%; Draw: 23.27%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.30, with an expected value of -0.813%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -0.813%E -0.153%K -0.189%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -11.81%E -7.77%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 04:59
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -1.75%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.27%E -0.541%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 04:24
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.68%E -0.516%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.75%E -4.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 04:23
Pinnacle🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 18.56%EV -3.25%E -0.628%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.15%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.29%EV -4.13%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 14:08
BetUS🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 18.56%EV -3.25%E -0.628%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.15%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.29%EV -4.13%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 14:07
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.41%EV -5.49%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.11%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.48%EV -7.86%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 08:10
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 04:24
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 13:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 04:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.75%E -4.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 04:25
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:49
1xBet🎯4.99I 20.04%NM 18.73%EV -6.61%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.60%EV -7.86%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 08:15
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 07:07
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.33%E -5.27%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 04:25
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 14:08
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 14:20
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 14:20
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 06:05
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.39%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.07%EV -11.81%E -7.77%K -22.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-23 15:49
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 14:26
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 14:07
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.07%E -6.50%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-23 04:39
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:04
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:04
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:05
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:05
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -12.04%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 06:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -13.91%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.33%E -5.27%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 14:16
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%EV -13.91%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 15:18
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.91%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 04:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.91%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 04:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.91%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 04:01
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.91%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 04:01
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.91%E -3.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.74%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 04:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.78%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -9.49%E -6.09%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-23 14:16
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.78%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.59%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -15.07%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 06:04
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.78%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.59%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -15.07%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 06:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -15.78%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.01%EV -14.72%E -10.01%K -31.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.05%EV -13.91%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-23 14:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -17.66%E -4.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -7.17%E -4.48%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -15.07%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 06:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.08%EV -18.59%E -4.27%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.65%EV -8.91%E -5.68%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -16.23%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-23 06:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.10%EV -20.46%E -4.81%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.48%EV -10.65%E -6.92%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -18.56%E -5.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-23 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-10-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-10-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-10-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.6%2026-10-23 15:55