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Galway United v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 21.21%4.71fair odd
EV +3.93%
Edge +0.802%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.40%21.00%21.47%22.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.314.284.9025.97%23.22%23.39%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 52.86%1.89fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.55%52.94%52.85%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.751.8162.50%57.83%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -0.157%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%26.05%25.68%27.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.503.8530.30%28.37%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 21.21%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 52.86%; Draw: 25.93%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV +3.93%E +0.802%K +1.01%G +0.040% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.97%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.47%EV -9.49%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +1.81%E +0.377%K +0.476%G +0.009% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +1.81%E +0.377%K +0.476%G +0.009% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV +1.81%E +0.377%K +0.476%G +0.009% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.311%E -0.066%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -9.62%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.311%E -0.066%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -12.79%E -7.75%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.55%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -4.55%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -10.14%E -5.97%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -4.55%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -11.73%E -7.02%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -0.157%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.73%E -7.02%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.09%E -5.28%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -12.79%E -7.75%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.14%E -5.97%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.20%E -6.67%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.20%E -6.67%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -11.98%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.74%EV -11.98%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -10.14%E -5.97%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.20%EV -7.16%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.87%EV -11.73%E -7.02%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.97%EV -12.79%E -7.75%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -11.20%E -6.67%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.37%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.10%EV -14.90%E -9.26%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-16 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.87%EV -18.34%E -4.76%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.62%EV -15.43%E -9.64%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.51%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.34% | 1.2% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40% | 2.2% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40% | 2.2% | 2026-10-16 18:45 |