Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galway United v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 18:45 UTC

Score final : Galway United 2–3 Bohemians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 24.85%4.02cote équitable
EV +1.88%
Avantage +0.459%
Kelly +0.608%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.48%24.68%24.96%25.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.704.1029.41%27.24%27.03%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.12%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -4.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.54%50.13%50.11%51.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.841.831.9157.14%54.39%54.64%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.03%4.00cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%25.19%24.93%26.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.593.603.8630.77%27.88%27.78%25.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Galway United (Local) : 24.85% ; Bohemians (Visiteur) : 50.12% ; Match nul : 25.03%. Pour Galway United (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.02. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.88%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV +1.88%E +0.459%K +0.608%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 11:59
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.71%EV -1.10%E -0.276%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -8.78%E -4.82%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.45%EV -3.39%E -0.879%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.09%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.90%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.09%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.09%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:05
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.09%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:05
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.09%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:00
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.15%EV -3.58%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.19%EV -6.90%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:30
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.33%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.64%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 10:44
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:56
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:00
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.49%EV -8.78%E -4.82%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.91%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 12:20
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:24
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:25
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.27%E -3.35%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 18:50
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 12:34
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 14:49
Bet Right🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.30%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 20:40
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 12:55
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.30%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 08:05
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 23:35
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 09:35
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 20:40
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.91%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 19:24
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 20:45
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.28%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 23:25
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -8.78%E -4.82%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.91%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 19:25
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.28%E -6.37%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-07 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.29%E -7.02%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -14.91%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-07 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -14.27%E -4.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -8.78%E -4.82%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -14.27%E -4.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -16.16%E -4.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-08 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -14.27%E -4.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -16.16%E -4.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-08 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.56%EV -11.78%E -6.70%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -18.66%E -5.74%K -8.29%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-08 19:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%4.4%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%4.4%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%4.4%2026-09-09 16:55