L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 55.87%1.79cote équitable
EV -5.02%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -7.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.58%55.95%55.93%58.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.48%61.16%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.19%5.21cote équitable
EV +0.740%
Avantage +0.141%
Kelly +0.174%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.89%19.14%19.26%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.376%
Kelly -0.503%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.01%24.91%24.82%27.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.673.9531.25%27.21%27.21%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.740%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.99%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.77%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -1.48%E -0.376%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 19:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.95%EV -11.72%E -7.42%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 07:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 12:25
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.31%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.31%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.84%E -8.23%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.84%E -8.23%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:10
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.01%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -5.98%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.90%EV -9.96%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.98%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:20
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.98%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.83%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 18:50
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:39
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:40
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 19:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.03%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 19:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:15
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -8.93%E -5.48%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 19:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.46%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-16 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.37%E -5.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.48%EV -11.72%E -7.42%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -20.19%E -6.31%K -9.18%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.95%EV -13.40%E -8.65%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-16 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -10.61%E -6.63%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -17.49%E -4.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:40