La escuela de los momios

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers

Inicio: 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Predicción 55.87%1.79momio equitativo
EV -5.02%
Ventaja -2.95%
Kelly -7.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.58%55.95%55.93%58.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.48%61.16%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sligo Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 19.19%5.21momio equitativo
EV +0.740%
Ventaja +0.141%
Kelly +0.174%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.89%19.14%19.26%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.376%
Kelly -0.503%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.01%24.91%24.82%27.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.683.673.9531.25%27.21%27.21%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.740%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.99%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.77%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -1.48%E -0.376%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 19:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.95%EV -11.72%E -7.42%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 07:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 12:25
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.14%E -0.419%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:20
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.31%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.31%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -2.73%E -0.701%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 07:20
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.84%E -8.23%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -12.84%E -8.23%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.06%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:10
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.01%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -5.98%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.90%EV -9.96%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.98%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:20
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.98%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:40
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.83%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 18:50
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:39
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:40
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.89%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 19:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.03%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.85%E -1.86%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 19:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:15
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -8.93%E -5.48%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 19:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.46%EV -12.28%E -7.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -11.73%E -2.55%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-16 19:35
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.37%E -5.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.48%EV -11.72%E -7.42%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -20.19%E -6.31%K -9.18%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.95%EV -13.40%E -8.65%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-16 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-16 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -10.61%E -6.63%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -17.49%E -4.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-16 19:40