The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 19:45 UTC

Final: Dundalk 3–1 Shamrock Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundalk (Local)

Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.367%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.17%23.98%24.00%25.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.773.754.1028.99%26.54%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shamrock Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.51%52.26%52.19%55.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.781.771.8862.50%56.21%56.50%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV +0.155%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.048%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.76%23.81%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.783.754.2329.85%26.49%26.67%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 24.02%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 52.30%; Draw: 23.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.155%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 24.02%EV -3.67%E -0.914%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.21%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.77%EV +0.155%E +0.037%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-30 19:30
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.17%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 19:30
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-30 19:15
1xBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.38%E -3.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 19:10
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.25%E -1.75%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 19:10
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 19:24
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 19:35
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.00%E -5.17%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-30 19:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-30 19:25
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 19:15
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:05
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:05
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 19:15
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 19:15
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 19:25
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.42%EV -11.09%E -6.52%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.95%EV -13.58%E -3.72%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-30 19:15
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 19:10
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.06%EV -12.14%E -7.22%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-30 19:15
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -6.38%E -3.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 52.59%EV -16.32%E -10.20%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%18.8%2026-10-30 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -18.31%E -5.31%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -17.12%E -4.96%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -20.68%E -6.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-30 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:25
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:25

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