Language:English
Dundalk v Bohemians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 20.99%4.76fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.411%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%20.93%21.22%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.334.354.8425.32%23.12%22.99%20.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bohemians (Visit)
Prediction 56.14%1.78fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -8.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.15%56.22%55.81%58.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.641.651.6866.67%60.94%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV +6.14%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 4.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.52%22.85%22.97%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.014.004.6427.03%24.95%25.00%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 20.99%; Bohemians (Visit): 56.14%; Draw: 22.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.07%EV -5.14%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.41%EV -8.49%E -5.21%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.52%EV +6.14%E +1.32%K +1.69%G +0.103% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 17:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.56%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.64%E -0.382%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.84%EV +1.58%E +0.326%K +0.411%G +0.006% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.65%EV -3.01%E -0.711%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.25%EV -0.729%E -0.154%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.01%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.75%EV -3.70%E -0.879%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -3.46%E -0.752%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.93%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -3.93%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -2.41%E -0.518%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.66%EV -9.62%E -5.97%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -5.07%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 17:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.46%E -0.752%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.93%E -4.84%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-02 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -13.95%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.93%E -4.84%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.56%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.56%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -1.36%E -0.289%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.15%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 18:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -10.80%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.05%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.65%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.65%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.65%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.56%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.62%E -5.97%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.62%E -5.97%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.62%E -5.97%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -13.95%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -5.56%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.05%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.05%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.05%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.05%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.97%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-02 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.88%EV -11.86%E -7.56%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -15.37%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.27%EV -17.10%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.02%EV -15.79%E -10.53%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.71%EV -15.37%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-10-02 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |