L’École des cotesFrançais
Derry City v Waterford FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Derry City (Local)
Prévision 63.59%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -3.07%
Kelly -9.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.36%63.48%63.63%65.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.461.461.5073.53%68.67%68.49%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Waterford FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.81%6.75cote équitable
EV +5.14%
Avantage +0.725%
Kelly +0.843%
Croissance +0.043%
avec la cote maximale 7.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.52%14.89%14.73%16.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.046.007.1019.23%16.56%16.67%14.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.60%4.63cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.479%
Kelly -0.614%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%21.63%21.63%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.884.164.204.5325.77%24.06%23.84%22.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.29%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +5.14%E +0.725%K +0.843%G +0.043% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.19%EV -2.17%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +3.66%E +0.523%K +0.611%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +3.66%E +0.523%K +0.611%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +3.66%E +0.523%K +0.611%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -10.33%E -7.33%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -13.51%E -9.93%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-27 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.89%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -5.22%E -0.816%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 19:38 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.68%EV -5.37%E -0.840%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.38%EV -9.51%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -8.18%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -13.51%E -9.93%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -12.63%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -12.63%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -14.11%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -14.69%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -14.11%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -14.69%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -14.11%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -14.69%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -17.07%E -3.05%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -18.55%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.96%EV -11.60%E -8.35%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.95%EV -20.03%E -3.71%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.88%EV -12.24%E -8.87%K -32.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.11%EV -21.51%E -4.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.01%EV -16.21%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:14 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -22.99%E -4.42%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 0.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 0.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 0.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |