La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Derry City v Waterford FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 63.59%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.61%
Ventaja -3.07%
Kelly -9.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.36%63.48%63.63%65.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.461.5073.53%68.67%68.49%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waterford FC (Visitante)
Predicción 14.81%6.75momio equitativo
EV +5.14%
Ventaja +0.725%
Kelly +0.843%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.52%14.89%14.73%16.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.046.007.1019.23%16.56%16.67%14.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.60%4.63momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.479%
Kelly -0.614%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%21.63%21.63%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.884.164.204.5325.77%24.06%23.84%22.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.29%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +5.14%E +0.725%K +0.843%G +0.043% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.19%EV -2.17%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +3.66%E +0.523%K +0.611%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.72%EV +3.66%E +0.523%K +0.611%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +3.66%E +0.523%K +0.611%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.07%EV -10.33%E -7.33%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -13.51%E -9.93%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.74%E -0.576%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-27 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.89%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.57%EV -5.22%E -0.816%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 19:38 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.68%EV -5.37%E -0.840%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.38%EV -9.51%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -8.18%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -13.51%E -9.93%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -11.15%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -12.63%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -12.63%E -2.14%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -14.11%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -14.69%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -14.11%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -14.69%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -14.11%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -14.69%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -17.07%E -3.05%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -18.55%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.96%EV -11.60%E -8.35%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.95%EV -20.03%E -3.71%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.88%EV -12.24%E -8.87%K -32.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.11%EV -21.51%E -4.06%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.01%EV -16.21%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:14 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -22.25%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 12:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -9.70%E -6.83%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -22.99%E -4.42%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 0.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 0.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 0.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |