Language:English
Derry City v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derry City (Local)
Prediction 23.84%4.19fair odd
EV +0.384%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%23.85%23.79%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.743.754.2130.30%26.76%26.67%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.58%49.03%49.02%51.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.891.901.9758.48%52.99%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.12%27.19%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.5732.26%29.85%29.85%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derry City (Local): 23.84%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 49.00%; Draw: 27.15%. For Derry City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.384%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV +0.384%E +0.091%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.28%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%EV -3.07%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV +0.146%E +0.035%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -13.26%E -7.49%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-19 18:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-19 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-19 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-19 18:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -8.22%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -8.22%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 18:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-19 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-19 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-19 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 18:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 18:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.18%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -3.46%E -1.76%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-19 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -15.35%E -4.32%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -8.85%E -4.76%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.05%EV -16.55%E -4.73%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 49.23%EV -16.20%E -9.48%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.72%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -18.93%E -5.57%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -18.93%E -5.57%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.98%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -18.93%E -5.57%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -20.12%E -6.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.00%EV -8.85%E -4.76%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.90%EV -21.31%E -6.46%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.96%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.13%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-10-19 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-10-19 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-10-19 18:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-10-19 18:55 |